{"product_id":"the-art-of-uncertainty-how-to-navigate-chance-ignorance-risk-and-luck-p","title":"Penguin Press The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck | Paperback | English","description":"\u003cdiv\u003e\n    \u003cp\u003eFrom the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure,’ David Spiegelhalter, \u003cem\u003eThe Art of Uncertainty\u003c\/em\u003e offers a clever, data-driven guide on how to effectively live with and navigate the inevitable risks and unknowns of the modern world. This essential book dissects complex data to help readers assess chances and understand the role that luck and coincidence play in daily life.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n    \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eKey Benefits \u0026amp; Insights\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n    \u003cul\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003eLearn principles of probability to think more analytically about risks concerning medical advice, pandemics, and climate change forecasts.\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003eGain insight into how beliefs about the future can be adjusted based on changing experience.\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003eExplore real-world examples, including why roughly 40% of football results stem from luck rather than talent.\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003eUnderstand how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom.\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003eDiscover the statistical certainty behind why two properly shuffled packs of cards have never been in the exact same order.\u003c\/li\u003e\n    \u003c\/ul\u003e\n\n    \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eAuthor Expertise\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n    \u003cp\u003eWritten by David Spiegelhalter, described by the Telegraph as ‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician,’ this book provides a window onto better ways to handle uncertainty.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\n    \u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eSpecifications\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n    \u003cul\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/strong\u003e David Spiegelhalter\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/strong\u003e Pelican\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eBinding:\u003c\/strong\u003e Paperback\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eEdition:\u003c\/strong\u003e 1st Edition\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eLanguage:\u003c\/strong\u003e English\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003ePrint Length:\u003c\/strong\u003e 512 pages\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003ePublication Date:\u003c\/strong\u003e June 25, 2026\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eISBN-10:\u003c\/strong\u003e 0241658632\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eISBN-13:\u003c\/strong\u003e 978-0241658635\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eDimensions:\u003c\/strong\u003e 119 x 23 x 183mm\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eWeight:\u003c\/strong\u003e 280g\u003c\/li\u003e\n        \u003cli\u003e\n\u003cstrong\u003eSeries:\u003c\/strong\u003e Pelican Books\u003c\/li\u003e\n    \u003c\/ul\u003e\n\n    \u003cp\u003eThis book is an essential guide for anyone seeking to navigate uncertainty with analytical rigor while maintaining the humility to acknowledge what remains unknown.\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e","brand":"by David Spiegelhalter","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":57640034664830,"sku":"0241658632","price":16.16,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0574\/3919\/1207\/files\/61VYTZkusFL_4a721b2b-e507-4295-a0c1-ee4c9d3683c4.jpg?v=1783100021","url":"https:\/\/www.yachew.com\/products\/the-art-of-uncertainty-how-to-navigate-chance-ignorance-risk-and-luck-p","provider":"Yachew","version":"1.0","type":"link"}